Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 83.293039 93.142408 103.168175 114.106177 125.673171 137.512965 150.519607
2025-09-28 66.098559 80.129314 95.024534 111.888044 130.329511 149.774706 171.721371
2025-10-05 59.443198 76.255486 94.621989 115.920227 139.700617 165.223100 194.480794
2025-10-12 53.523020 72.324461 93.399215 118.350460 146.699301 177.567580 213.395536
2025-10-19 47.006982 66.990507 89.974929 117.738747 149.804065 185.185243 226.712871
2025-10-26 41.519638 62.348421 86.906487 117.130191 152.558209 192.112142 238.991772
2025-11-02 37.461075 59.080182 85.156874 117.786919 156.531548 200.223885 252.433435
2025-11-09 33.172945 55.161073 82.329050 116.908696 158.502157 205.872549 262.928760
2025-11-16 29.869089 52.242874 80.516890 117.065136 161.533910 212.617867 274.570339
2025-11-23 26.390383 48.808032 77.835270 115.970776 162.921045 217.328450 283.765314
2025-11-30 24.328678 47.153962 77.306516 117.437836 167.304496 225.483195 296.899147
2025-12-07 22.577997 45.797904 77.062478 119.179166 171.957858 233.911429 310.320056
2025-12-14 19.953252 42.994479 74.797433 118.298885 173.389947 238.545038 319.363930
2025-12-21 17.076531 39.556974 71.496489 115.944823 172.894320 240.800622 325.554359
2025-12-28 16.577586 39.776773 73.194486 120.073684 180.457986 252.726502 343.174893
2026-01-04 15.607155 39.155711 73.664159 122.550189 185.926146 262.112625 357.780727
2026-01-11 13.803598 37.002665 71.858111 121.926657 187.422086 266.641558 366.571589
2026-01-18 12.168684 34.971633 70.117854 121.305840 188.856271 271.047290 375.178234
2026-01-25 11.014779 33.671985 69.372798 121.975737 191.900041 277.393933 386.093985
2026-02-01 9.583662 31.707163 67.538051 121.079909 192.871683 281.153555 393.865348
2026-02-08 8.523950 30.324843 66.508537 121.239490 195.169423 286.521233 403.558813
2026-02-15 7.295652 28.446191 64.616829 120.123127 195.749025 289.719917 410.594366
2026-02-22 6.690296 27.788272 64.598633 121.619662 199.739962 297.155837 422.778103